The 2019 Food City 500 takes place on Sunday at legendary Bristol Motor Speedway. The green flag falls at two p.m. ET, and each corner counts due to the tight, steeply-banked trail where passing is at a premium. Last week, Denny Hamlin grabbed his next victory of this 2019 Monster Energy NASCAR Cup Series season at Texas Motor Speedway. He’s got a win at Bristol under his belt and is listed at 14-1 to win in the latest 2019 Food City 500 chances. However, there are six drivers using 2019 NASCAR at Bristol chances better than Hamlin, as Kyle Busch (5-2) is your preferred followed by Kyle Larson (7-1), Brad Keselowski (8-1), Joey Logano (8-1), Ryan Blaney (12-1) and Kevin Harvick (12-1). So before you make your own 2019 Food City 500 picks, visit the NASCAR at Bristol predictions in the proven pc version at SportsLine.
Developed by DFS pro and SportsLine predictive data engineer Mike McClure, this proprietary NASCAR prediction computer model simulates every race 10,000 occasions, taking factors such as track record and current results into account.
The model is off to a solid start in NASCAR this year, calling Daytona 500 champion Denny Hamlin that a top-four competition from the start. It nailed eight of the top 10 drivers at the Pennzoil 400, which included putting winner Joey Logano at its projected top five. It was all over Kyle Busch as a leading contender at the TicketGuardian 500 and four of the drivers at McClure’s top five went on to top-five finishes in the Auto Club 400. Anyone who has followed its selections is far up.
McClure, with a mechanical engineering degree, grew up around race tracks. Big events at iconic venues like Bristol Motor Speedway are in his blood. His model simulated the 2019 Food City 500 10,000 times and the results were so surprising.
For Sunday, we can tell you the version is high on Kurt Busch, who makes a strong run at the checkered flag despite heading off as a very long shot 14-1 NASCAR at Bristol odds.
Busch is a six-time winner in Bristol Motor Speedway and only his brother, Kyle Busch (seven), has more wins in this course among active NASCAR drivers. That comes with a victory last August at the NASCAR at Bristol race for his 30th career victory in NASCAR’s top series.
The 40-year-old veteran and 2004 series champion battled his way into the front of the package from the ninth starting position in that race also has also previously come in the 27th and 13th starting places to win at Bristol. He beat Larson by 0.367 seconds last time NASCAR seen Bristol and certainly will start 27th on Sunday. He’s off to a hot start this season too, finishing in the top 10 in all but two races. He finished second at the Clash in Daytona and third at Atlanta.
Along with a huge shocker: Ryan Blaney, one of the best Vegas favorites at 12-1, doesn’t even crack the top five. There are far better values compared to 12-1 premium he is controlling.
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